Key Credit Index Says Weak Economy Heading in Right Direction
Although its key index remains above the expansion level, the National Association of Credit Management (NACM) said its December Credit Managers’ Index matched the mood of the economy as a whole – essentially flat.
The NACM’s index did show a slight gain as it moved from 52.3 to 52.9. More importantly, the index remained above 50 for the third straight month, which is the line that separates growth from contraction.
“This is hardly the kind of advance that provokes celebration, but given the gloomy assessments made about the 2009 holiday season, the gain is certainly preferable to what had been anticipated,” said Chris Kuehl, economist for the NACM.
The indicators that showed the least movement included sales and new credit applications, which Kuehl said was consistent with December readings of past years. While still preliminary, he said retail numbers thus far showed a gain of around 4.5 percent over the last year.
“This is a period in which most manufacturers are in semi-hibernation unless the retail community is frantically trying to bolster inventory,” he said. “That was not the strategy employed by retail this year.”
What did show up as more positive was an increase in dollar collection and an expansion of credit extended. The data points bode well for the coming year, especially given the fact that the rebound of the credit markets will be key for the economy’s healthy recovery.
Other elements showing promise include a modest improvement in unfavorable factors, as items such as disputes and rejection of credit applications all showed declines. The one unfavorable factor – filings for bankruptcies – continues to deteriorate significantly, particularly in hard-hit sectors like automotive and construction.
“There have been more bankruptcies and that poses some longer-term problems,” Kuehl said. “The growth of bankruptcy activity is not unexpected at this point in a recession, but until these are worked through, there will be hesitation in the market to extend credit to any one but the healthiest companies.”
Kuehl concluded that while the economy remains weak, it is headed in the right direction. He added that the slow thaw in the credit markets is still taking place and there are signs of expansion in both the manufacturing and service sectors.
“There’s been no sign of explosive growth thus far, but that is consistent with most of the other assessments of the economy,” noted Kuehl. “The improvement in 2010 looks more feasible, but there are still no fireworks in the immediate future.”
More Industry

Gone to the Dogs
A Stellantis brand decided to have some fun with one of its SUVs’ design to address growing emphasis on family pets.
Read More →
Luxe N.C. Dealerships Change Hands
A collection of Italian and English brand franchises were handed off to the owner’s friend in the business and include the Carolinas’ only Ferrari retail stores.
Read More →
Exposure Drives Interest in Chinese Cars
At a recent demonstration, consumers had the chance to ride in a Chinese-branded vehicle, a firsthand experience that improved their perceptions and purchase intent.
Read More →
Automotive Consumers Sink Further in Debt
Most financing metrics hit records in the second quarter as more buyers locked themselves into long terms and high monthly payments.
Read More →
Agent Advocate
Rob Mancuso, who comes from a long line of auto dealers, values general agents’ place in the industry and makes a case for them taking an even bigger seat at the table.
Read More →
Driving Under Distraction
Though consumers gave higher marks to new vehicles in JD Power’s most recent initial-quality poll, high-tech interference worsened, pointing to craving for simplicity.
Read More →
Affordable New Cars a Thing of the Past
More than one out of five new vehicles sell for more than $60,000, according to Edmunds. That's up 7% compared to prepandemic 2019.
Read More →
State Follows Federal Warning on Auto Ads
The Massachusetts attorney general cautioned the state’s automotive dealers to be upfront with the consuming public about their vehicle prices or risk punishment.
Read More →
Consumer Outlook on the Rise
Younger generations are feeling more positive about their financial futures and current affordability pressures than older generations, according to recent TransUnion data.
Read More →
Pennsylvania Dealership Under New Retailers
The sale of the Chrysler Dodge Jeep Ram store puts a family auto group on a leaner path as first-time dealers take the helm.
Read More →